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FORMER Minister of Petroleum and Energy, Prof. Tamunoemi David-West,
said that Nigerians should expect sharp drop in petrol price from the
current N87 to about N40 per litre, saying, “the president-elect, Gen.
Mohammed Buhari, will reduce the fuel pump price to N40 per litre.”
In a telephone interview with Vanguard,
the former minister argued that Nigeria produces millions of barrels of
crude oil daily, and if properly harnessed will boost the performance
of the industry.
His words: “I want to assure you that by the time he takes over, petrol
will be dispensed at N40 per litre. This is possible and he has the
credibility to make it work.
The major assignment of the president-elect when he is eventually inaugurated is to restore confidence to the industry.
He noted that the president-elect is familiar with the petroleum
industry, adding that he is a straightforward person that has respect
for democratic principles.
“As military head of state, he dealt with the Federal Executive Council with the tenets of democracy.
Buhari will build new refineries to make petroleum products available
for the masses. No responsible government will allow the masses to
suffer.
“He will strengthen the refineries within a year. It is possible as we
won’t spend any amount in setting up a green field refinery. We already
have a blueprint as we shall use what we have to get what we want,” he
added. He further stated that on many occasions, the president – elect
had disclosed that the subsidy initiative is a fraud which has distorted
the progress expected in the sector.
He is also said to have frowned at the spate of corruption, which has
characterised the subsidy regime to include the trillions of Naira spent
on both Petrol and Kerosene subsidy within the past few years, thus
inhibiting efforts to properly carry-out the Turn Around Maintenance
TAM, for the refineries.
He added that on countless occasions, he had argued that the country is forced to pay for scam carried out by oil cartel.
Also contributing, a UK-based economic analyst, Mr. Seyi Odetola, noted
that the president-elect has expressed doubts on the credibility of the
subsidy claim. He added that there may be the need to investigate the
several claims made by marketers, which will further reinforce his
earlier submission on the subsidy claim.
According to him; “The fact that most filling stations in the country
are now dispensing petroleum products after the presidential election,
despite the threat by major oil marketers to stop selling the product,
in view of the subsidy arrears owed to them by the Federal Government,
indicated that most of the marketers have been benefiting from the
fraud.
Removal ofsubsidy
He argued that “Where did they get funds to import the product, given
the nature of the forex? If after the presidential election fuel is
still available as if nothing had happened, it is then apparent that
there is no fuel subsidy. “It would be difficult for him, to unitarily
remove subsidy without the proper consideration of the plight of the
major players in the sector.
He will need to re-appraise the cause of inefficiency of the sector.” He
further hinted that the president-elect, with his pedigree and respect
for the rule of law, will completely phase out importation by the time
the local refineries are working. This, according to him, will totally
remove subsidy, adding that subsidy as it is presently constitutes the
promotion of corruption and impunity.
“I am optimistic that the president-elect will look into the subsidy
regime as soon as he finally settles down for the business of
governance. He stressed that renewed attention will be given to the
revamping of the four refineries as well as focus on the construction of
new ones.”
He concluded that “In the long term, through the confidence that will be
restored in the downstream and upstream sectors, investors will be
encouraged to do business which will stimulate the growth from the level
it is.
On his part, the Director, Strategic Planning, Research Intelligent, Mr.
Olubunmi Martins, argued that the subsidy regime is riddled with
corruption, a sign post of the present administration. He said the
challenge before the industry is the gradual restoration of the local
refineries, which will take care of the local consumption for petroleum
products.
He insisted that if activities at the various refineries are up scaled
up, subsidy will no longer be a major concern in the country. He however
urged the president-elect to scrutinise the various marketers, as most
of the companies were floated solely for the sake of benefiting from the
subsidy regime, thereby snowballing into cartels that have held the
sector back.
Olubunmi maintained that subsidy has distorted all the major economic
activities that should have taken place in the country. “I am still at a
loss with the concept of the whole subsidy, what is being subsidised
and who are the beneficiaries? But it will be unwise for the
president-elect to remove the subsidy immediately he takes over the
mantle of leadership, as such an action could force him into a trap set
by the oil cabals.
“Notwithstanding, Gen. Buhari will have to do a complete evaluation of
the sector to properly understand areas of non-performance and take
appropriate action,” he added.

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